Cardiff needs a miracle to keep its place in the Premier League for one more season, although the victory over Fulham in the last round definitely improve their situation. However, this Saturday the Welsh are going to play against Everton and the task to grab some points from Goodison Park is definitely not an easy challenge.
Everton continued their fight for the top positions in the Premier League, although it is already clear that they will not finish in the top 4 places. They have also been beaten in the FA Cup, which is not a good sign at all. Actually if we look over the results in the last few month it would be easy to say that now Everton plays like a team on the middle of the table. However, they are good enough to beat without much trouble Cardiff, something that most likely will happen on Saturday afternoon.
This is also easy to be seen from the coefficients offered by the major bookmakers for this match. A possible Everton victory is rated at 1.35 by Bet at home and 1.33 by bet365. The William Hill’s proposal for a home win is 1.36. The draw chances are estimated on 4.6 by William Hill and Bet at home and on 5 by bet365. William Hill and bet365 give odds of 9 for a win for Cardiff and the proposal of Bet at home is 8.7.
At first glance it may safely be said that the odds appear to be correct and it is difficult to find some value.
When you look on the goals markets again is very difficult to find any value in offered by the bookmakers odds. They proposed 1.8 for Over and 2 for Under 2.5 goals scored by Everton and Cardiff in this match.
When judging the odds and the strength of both teams, perhaps the wisest thing a player can do in this match is simply to pass and not to bet. Something that at least I am going to do.