With news coming in that Manchester United’s owners have sacked manager David Moyes, it could well be a managerless team that would walk out on the pitch for the weekend’s game against Norwich City. However, looking at the drastic fall from grace for the defending champions, one might be excused for thinking that they never really had any manager throughout the season. Barring a Quarterfinal appearance in the Champions League, the season has had very few positives to look at for Manchester United fans. At the time of writing, rumours are going round that the entire backroom staff will be vacated too, so we might see Ryan Giggs take up the reins temporarily.

Norwich City have their own problems to face. What seemed like relative comfort in terms of the relegation battle has fast turned into a very likely possibility that they will be one of the teams that will go down to the Championship. They are presently 2 points above Cardiff City and Fulham, who are on 18th and 19th place respectively. Norwich need to find a way to stop the string of losses that have brought them to this position, as even a couple of draws in the last few games would have made their position more secure.

For Norwich City, there will never be a better time to play Manchester United, with all the off field problems that the defending champions are facing. If Norwich are able to get all 3 points in this game, they will be able to ensure that they have a better chance of avoiding the drop. They definitely cannot afford another loss as their relegation battlers are sure to get some points from their respective games. Manchester United have nothing to play for, not even pride, the way their season has panned out, and most players would be looking at the World Cup and next season, and would want this nightmare to end as quickly as possible.
Injuries

Manchester United are missing out on 3 first team players in Rafael, Robin van Persie and Patrice Evra. All 3 of them are out for the long term and have no chance of making it to this weekend’s game.

Norwich City have only 2 players on the injury list, with Yobo still not having recovered from his shin injury. However, Bennett is scheduled to make a return this weekend, though the chances of him making into the starting eleven are slim.
Man Utd Norwich Head to Head

Manchester United and Norwich City have played each other a total of 58 times, with Manchester United being the obvious dominant team. United have won 34 games while Norwich managed to win 12 of them, with the remaining ending in a draw.
Form

Manchester United – LWWLW
Norwich City – LLLLW

Prediction: Manchester United 1-2 Norwich City

Under normal circumstances, you would expect even a David Moyes led Manchester United to stroll past a hapless Norwich City but the sacking of Moyes could not have come at a better time for the Canaries.

One of the basic issues when talking about sports betting systems is can we rely the outcomes of a particular group of matches to be repeated in the same way when we have a similar group of matches in the future. Said it with other words, if a number of matches have ended with Over 2.5 goals scored by both teams, does it mean that the same group of matches will end with the same number of Overs?

Most of the players who deal with sports betting worldwide would respond to this question with an Yes, although the number of them who really gain some profit from sports betting is relatively small.

However, the skeptics would say that this can’t happen because any sports match is too unpredictable, which denies the option the bettor to be able to rely only on past data. To this argument the players who believe that statistics can provide reliable information usually answer that a game itself is hard to be predicted based only on statistics, but if you have a hundred matches, then it is another matter and you can get the needed percentage of winners.

Which one of both groups is closer to the truth? If you look at the amount of players who are interested in betting statistics and bets with bookmakers like William Hill, bet365 and Bet at home and compare them with the amount of players who actually gain profit from sports betting, you will see that there is a definite difference between what most of the players expect and what they actually get.

Also, we can say that the analysis of betting statistics is not easy and only really good mathematicians can find the valuable information in it. Unfortunately, the percentage of those really good mathematicians among the bettors is not particularly high.

However, can the betting statistics help us to create a betting system that wins money every month? The answer is no (in most of the cases), but to search for such a system is good because the process of searching helps us to understand sports betting better and thus reduces our losses when dealing with your favorite hobby.

Cardiff needs a miracle to keep its place in the Premier League for one more season, although the victory over Fulham in the last round definitely improve their situation. However, this Saturday the Welsh are going to play against Everton and the task to grab some points from Goodison Park is definitely not an easy challenge.

Everton continued their fight for the top positions in the Premier League, although it is already clear that they will not finish in the top 4 places. They have also been beaten in the FA Cup, which is not a good sign at all. Actually if we look over the results in the last few month it would be easy to say that now Everton plays like a team on the middle of the table. However, they are good enough to beat without much trouble Cardiff, something that most likely will happen on Saturday afternoon.

This is also easy to be seen from the coefficients offered by the major bookmakers for this match. A possible Everton victory is rated at 1.35 by Bet at home and 1.33 by bet365. The William Hill’s proposal for a home win is 1.36. The draw chances are estimated on 4.6 by William Hill and Bet at home and on 5 by bet365. William Hill and bet365 give odds of 9 for a win for Cardiff and the proposal of Bet at home is 8.7.

At first glance it may safely be said that the odds appear to be correct and it is difficult to find some value.

When you look on the goals markets again is very difficult to find any value in offered by the bookmakers odds. They proposed 1.8 for Over and 2 for Under 2.5 goals scored by Everton and Cardiff in this match.

When judging the odds and the strength of both teams, perhaps the wisest thing a player can do in this match is simply to pass and not to bet. Something that at least I am going to do.

In the last few years I follow the statistics for created goal attempts and goals in the matches of the English Premier League. I try to find some correlation which to lead to the construction of a betting strategy, which to be profitable for soccer betting. A few day’s ago I found an interesting pattern, which I am going to describe in the next few lines.

Firstly, some explanations. For each goal attempt I give a point for the team and for each goal I give seven points ( I read a statistical analysis, which says that in the Premier League to score a goal a team needs average 7 goal attempts). I collect the points of both team in their last four matches (for the hosts the four home matches and for the guests the four away matches) and thus I get some value that helps me decide should I bet on Under or Over 2.5 goals scored by both teams.

In this case, I found out that if I look only on matches which has a value bigger than 200 points, 49 of these matches end with more than 2.5 goals scored by both teams and 29 are under 2.5 goals.

This gives a percentage of 62.8, which in turn corresponds to odds of 1.59. In general the average rate for Over 2.5 scored goals in the Premier League is around 1.8, which gives good signs for gaining profit by betting on this way. The lowest odds of Over 2.5 that I’ve ever seen in the Premier League is 1.45, which once again shows that this system can be profitable, since this odds is close to the average success rate, which is achieved through this betting way.

In the last round of the Premier League I found two such matches. One was a winner and the other was a loser, but with only two matches it is difficult to make a real judgment.

This is why I will wait to get more data and when that happens I will write again is this betting option good enough or no.

It’s been a tougher than usual season for Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger with many grumblings coming from his own fans who have grown tired of second best at this stage, however they should be happy they have fourth spot in their own hands right now and another win against Hull should strengthen their grip on Champions League football for next Season.

Best Bet: Arteta to score any-time @6/1

Scorecast: Arsenal 2-0 @15/2

First Goalscorer: Mikel Arteta @16/1

Prices taken from William Hill

MATCH FACTS

Hull City have lost nine of their last 10 games against Arsenal in all competitions (W1).

Nicklas Bendtner has scored in three of his four Barclays Premier League appearances against Hull City.

Arsenal have conceded 15 goals in their last five Premier League away games.

The Gunners have scored a total of one goal in their last four Premier League away games.

All of Hull’s league goals since February have come between the 30th and 50th minutes.

The Tigers have conceded only five first half goals in their last 13 Premier League outings.

All but one of Tom Huddlestone’s 11 Premier League goals (eight for Tottenham, three for Hull) have come from outside the box (nine from open play, one direct free-kick)

All 22 Premier League appearances Alex Bruce has made (16 for Hull this season, six for Birmingham in 2005-06) have come in teams where his father is the manager.

Arsenal’s Premier League win percentage with Mesut Ozil in the team (59%) is virtually the same as when he has been absent (58%) this season.

Oliver Giroud’s goal against West Ham in midweek was his 25th in the Premier League. Only seven of them have come away from home.

Sports bet is certainly not for the faint hearted ,if you one of them, rather leave,this is not for you! Evidence suggest that few people actually beat the bookmaker to make a profit over the long term. Yes there’s punters that are successful and live their dream betting for life. In this article you will discover how anyone can beat the bookmaker to gain the edge totally ! Few people go the other route by outclass his strategy of sensible risk management.Remember he want to make a profit from his business ! Use this hard hitting facts constructively and you will earn a potential income opportunity.

What this secret report about ?

• This deep analysis you can study the methods,step by step to have a better bird’s eye view of how to monitor the market.
• To encourage you to think more analytically.
• Improve your betting strategy.
• Improve your decision-making in the markets you invest in..
• Different ways to gain a head start.
• Bigger pay-outs
• And mostly important money management and examination risk.

Hint:It’s only through clear thinking and better understanding that the better can maximise his chances of winning. Without this pure thinking the bookmaker will always gain the upper hand. The mind have magnificent,just increase your thinking unexplored abilities.

1. Plan financially.

Important! you should avoid betting more than you can could afford. The importance of this is to put aside a amount for betting purposes only. This step is very important to test your discipline and your financial future.

2. Do your research and be selective.

There are thousands of sport betting opportunities to be found everyday and the bookmaker have hopes to stacks the odds against you. To improve your chances is to overcome this advantages,you must concentrate on two key sporting markets to have a fresh start. Do a proper research thoroughly.

Hint:Always remember the bookmaker have less experience in the smaller markets that’s not so popular,like darts,volleyball,cycling,jumping and biathlon. Certainly a big edge for you as,only two compilers studying them. Be selective and don’t just bet because you have to,bet when you feel you have identified a advantage. The worst you can do is not bet at all when the break is even.

3. Keep Records.

Have a notepad and keep accurate records,the winnings and the profits and losses incurred. Keep a eagle eye betting history to analyse your strengths and weaknesses. To record your profitability and reveal the input to see if you gain a edge over the bookmarker.

4. A value bet or don’t bet at all!

Winnings make the bank account full,but remember it’s absolutely impossible to win all the time. Seek and identify the value in the odds,through a comparison of bookmakers,prices,quantitative and qualitative forecasting techniques. Find the value and the winner will take care of everything.

5.Test your Forecasting System.

Punters use different techniques to forecasting and prediction. Some to prefer to watch the media reports about each event and making betting judgements, base on injuries,morale and motivation. The other group prefer to quantify information about form and develop rating system to predict the outcome of the next contest.

Hint:Keep a record of both approaches especially for numerical forecasting,test and retest the your system.

6.Identify Good Betting Markets

There’s a wide variety of wagers from match bets to ante post,score cast to handicaps. Every punter will have his own type favourable market,be on the look out for this signs,where the bookmaker have limited to his over-round. This include where the number of possible outcomes is a minimal-2

and this include etc. the Asian handicap betting in football. American sports wagers and 2-way betting in many other fields. The imposed disadvantages is you will face a lower,both because the bookmaker cant afford it to be so,and obviously there’s little room for them to emphasize behind less generous prices.

7.Bet Singles

For all the years bookmakers imposed restrictions on availability of single bets,where the punter only backed the outcome of one event. To the inventions of the internet and offshore sport betting industry,this restrictions have totally disappeared. Unfortunately punters feed on the bigger payouts from multiples and perms still in place. For highly successful betters it’s true that profits can be generate,but the risk of the larger and lower strike rates will always be greater. Singles can generate reasonable rewards without the risk of loosing a large sum.

Hint: A punter’s Greed is always his downfall

8. Back favourites and Small prices

Contentious but undeniable apparent,at least in football is the favourite of long-shoot bias. Demonstrated empirically beyond question in the Sport Bets European Football fixed odds markets. It’s potentially owns its existence,to risk adverse tendencies. Because of most bookmakers,who should sooner,over priced a odds on selection. This to liability on by offering value in the long-shot. Backing only on short prices will not be enough to secure a betting edge,but for those who want to do show average smaller disadvantages is smaller to start with. Backing this strategy of short prices give you security that you will pick up more winnings.

Hint:Don’t go for a favourite just because it’s a favourite,back it with the believe it carry value behind it. This is one of the Bookmakers crucial mistake going for the favourites.

9. Sit down and compare the Bookmakers prices

If the bookmakers give 1/1 while another offer 6/5 ,it make sense to take the lesser price. Also consider the betting exchanges method where you can bet against other punters as to against the bookmaker. Despite the commissions payable on winnings -5%-the odds available with exchanges are frequently more favourable since there is no over round to overcome.

Hint:Always remember do not bet because your bookmaker offers the highest price,the odds must always contain good value.

10. Identify your risk preferences.

Are you a risk taker? Or a risk avoider ? The answer of this will shape your betting strategy and money management. Risk takers are happy to back high odds,preferring the huge win. They also develop the mental association of “you win some and you loose some”.Some betters prefer chasing the lost bets. Caution! This strategy will not guarantee profits as the risk of failure is open to you in sports bets.

If you prefer the method of good research and awareness strategy, you will meet some good profits along your way.All the Best ! and to have luck with believe….You open a doorway that few open.The mind have power just control it. You can sign up here to analyze your strategy what you have learn Go here…..

West Ham United

While Sam Allardyce was accused of playing boring, defensive football against Chelsea on Wednesday, his tactics were enough to earn them a deserved, much needed point in the 0-0 draw.

This comes during a time when they have just one win in their last ten matches in all competitions. In their last ten Premier League matches they have picked up just six points. In this same time they have given up at least two goals in six matches while keeping three clean sheets as well.

This season West Ham has average one goal per game which increases to 1.2 per game at home. However, they have really struggled defensively with an average 1.4 goals allowed that also increases at home to 1.7 per game.

They have also averaged just 43% possession at home and have completed 75% of their passes. Defensively they have conceded an average of 16.4 shots per game, 33.5 clearances and 5.3 shots blocked at home.

Swansea City

The Swans midweek 2-0 win over Fulham was much needed at this point in their season. While not fully out of the woods yet, the three points move them into 11th place with 24 points, enough to be five clear of West Ham in 18th. It was also their third win in their last five matches in all competitions.

In the Premier League they have not fared so well as it was their first win in their last nine matches which include five losses. The win interrupts a three match losing streak.

Swansea’s clean sheet against Fulham in midweek was their first in the Premier League since the 3-0 home win over Newcastle back on December 4. Since then they have allowed at least two goals in four different matches. They have allowed an average of 1.4 goals per game which actually drops to 1.2 in away matches. They have averaged scoring 1.3 goals per game, but this drops to 0.7 per game in away games.

Prediction

My pick is a draw. West Ham will most likely struggle to retain possession with Swansea dominating most of the game, but most likely struggling to score.

These two teams have only met three times in the past with each team getting a win and one draw. In their previous meeting this season the match ended 0-0 at Swansea. I’m predicting this to be low scoring and wouldn’t be at all surprised by another 0-0.

In the past, when we have written about how to bet baseball, we explained how underdogs with high totals have been profitable for sports bettors, but until now had not offered any evidence to support this assumption. The theory is very basic: high totals lead to more unpredictability and that volatility benefits the team receiving plus money (i.e. the underdog).

To test this theory on how to bet baseball, we used our Bet Labs software to look through more than eight years of MLB betting data. We first chose to focus solely on underdogs by using the “Favorite/Dog” filter, and then continued by adding our “O/U” filter and steadily increased the total by a half-run starting at 6. Our belief was that as the total increased, we would see a constant increase in our return on investment (ROI).

Outside of the decrease between 8.5 and 9 and 10.5 and 11, we noticed that both the winning percentage and ROI increased as the total became higher. In fact, simply betting every underdog in games where the total was at least 10 would result in a winning system. This is not a recommended betting system, but it does show a definitive edge for shrewd sports bettors.

Today, there are no games with a total of at least 10, however both the Blue Jays and Diamondbacks are worth monitoring as they are underdogs in games with a total of 9.5. Historically, games played at Coors Field, Fenway Park and Rangers Ballpark in Arlington have most frequently had a total of at least 10, so we would recommend keeping tabs on the Rockies, Red Sox, and Rangers, respectively.

Baseball is a very popular option when it comes to betting on sports at online casino and poker sites, as it has a long season and plenty of stats and trends to work with. It’s also a great sport to get started with as far as dipping your toe into the sportsbetting waters, as you have a range of bets (from easy and straightforward to slightly more complex) available to you, so you don’t just have to bet on the Padres to win every single bet. Some of the simplest bets are season-long futures bets, which is just picking a team (go Padres!) to win their division, league championship, or the World Series.

Some baseball fans have always wanted to bet a few bucks on a game from time to time but have been too intimidated to try. That’s why online betting is so appealing to many and where most people today who bet on baseball get their start. You can learn the ropes at your own pace and don’t have to be intimidated by placing a bet in a busy sportsbook at a brick-and-mortar casino; just log-on, create your account, and you can be betting on baseball and other sports in a matter of minutes.

As far as baseball bets to make, one of the simplest is the moneyline bet, which is just picking one team to win. You can also make an over/under bet on the total runs scored as well as betting on the run line, which is similar to betting the point spread in football. These options give you more ways to bet on your favorite team like the Padres even if you think they may lose that day, as you could take them as underdogs with the run line of +1.5 and still win your bet even if they lose a close game by a single run.

Another advantage to betting online is that you’ll be able to access sportsbetting, casino games, and online poker rooms as well. Many online sites offer generous bonuses to encourage players to try out all the different games they offer, so in some cases you can actually collect cash bonuses for trying out various games. Many sportsbettors are avid poker fans as well, as the two are a natural fit as far as getting your bets in for the day and then kicking back and playing some poker as you watch the results.

The question every gambler worth his salt has been asking for a long time – can the bookies be beaten, and if so, how? You’ve got to wonder if it’s even possible to pry a few shy pence from the hands of the bookmakers. In the USA, apart from in Las Vegas’ Nevada, bookmaking is actually illegal, and in countries like Japan or Canada, it’s only permitted by government ordained organisations.

In fact, the UK is part of a minority in legalising bookmaking. When you consider that, you’ve got to wonder if the whole thing isn’t just a big con.

Gamblers all have their own methods of getting a profit out of the bookies, and here we’re just going to outline a couple.

The first thing you need to learn to fight back against the bookies and their sumptuously kept books is to learn how to convert odds into percentages. It’s a bit too long and complicated to get into here, but Betting Expert has a great guide to converting the different kinds of odds into easy to crunch percentages that even the biggest maths novice can get their head round.

With this knowledge in hand, you can have your own fair swing at trying to overcome the bookies and their cleverly constructed odds. The second thing you need to get to grips with is the concept of an over-round vs. an under-round book.

An over-round book is one where the percentage odds of the competing teams adds to over 100%. In an over-round book, the bookie always wins. In an over-round book, you can bet against two competing teams, and it is impossible to profit, no matter who wins. All bookies will make their books over-round by default.

So, if you want to assure yourself a tidy little profit of anything from 1% to 6% percent, what can you do? Well, bookmakers will make slightly different odds, based on different opinions and sources. And those small differences can make a big difference to your wallet.

By taking the best odds from competing bookies, you can create an under-round book – one where the percentages add to under 100% – on whatever game you’re betting on. This assures you a profit from your bet.

This profit is bound to be small, though. And there’s a lot of graft involved. If you’re willing to scour bookies websites, or hit the streets and constantly keep your eyes peeled on the ever-changing odds, this under-round betting method might be worthwhile. But for most people with a busy, full lifestyle, that’s way more time and work than it’s worth for such tiny profits.

Of course, if you’re a specialist in a more obscure sport, like swimming or snooker or boxing, you might be able to just beat the less-informed bookie at their own game. For the average sports fan though, sports sweepstakes, such as those offered by Panda Sweeps, might be just the thing for you.